Todd Adams

With high pressure firmly in control of our weather, on this beautiful Sunday, we enjoyed a full day of sunshine. That allowed Temps to climb above our climate average high (67) to THE UPPER 70s. A southerly wind kicked in this afternoon, so the quick warm up began. We can expect to see an increase in clouds as we head into Monday. Tonight, partly cloudy and not as cool. Expect a low in the mid 50s.Next week: We're still on track for even warmer temperatures as a warm front will lift up from the Gulf of Mexico. That will offer up a low-level flow of warm, moist air over the region. We will see an increase in clouds on the first part of the work week, with scattered rain chances and an isolated thunderstorm. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will increase, beginning late Tuesday, as a cold front approaches from the northwest. We are not expecting any severe weather out of the system, but it may drop an inch to an inch and a half of rain through the period. That front will meander over central Mississippi for a couple of days, then dissipate. A significantly cooler surge of air builds in by late week. Both day and night temps will drop 25 to 30 degrees from Monday's readings. That will be below our seasonal climate norm (66/44).

This afternoon we will climb above our climate average high (66) to near 80. A southerly wind will kick in today, so expect to start warming and see an increase in clouds as we head into Monday. Tonight, partly cloudy and not as cool. Expect a low in the mid 50s.Next week: We're still on track for a warming trend as a warm front will lift up from the Gulf of Mexico. That will offer up a low-level flow of warm, moist air over the region. So, we will see an increase in clouds on the first part of the work week, with scattered rain chances and an isolated thunderstorm. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will increase, beginning Tuesday, as a cold front is expected to develop and approach from the west. We are not expecting any severe weather out of the system, but it will likely drop an inch to an inch and a half of rain through the period. It looks like it will meander over central Mississippi for a couple of days, then move out of the area. Significantly cooler weather builds in by late week, with temperatures dropping below our climate norm (66/44).

Another cool night, under a clear sky, across the central MS. The mid and upper 40s are close to our seasonal norm. But, warmer temps are on the horizon for next week, as a warm front will lift up from the Gulf of Mexico. That will offer up a low-level flow of warm, moist air over the region. So, we will see an increase in clouds on the first part of the work week, with scattered rain chances. More widespread showers and thunderstorms will increase, beginning Tuesday, as a cold front is expected to develop and approach from the west. Some refreshing news, we are not expecting any severe weather out of the system. It looks like it will meander over central Mississippi for a couple of days, then move out of the area. That means increased rain chances through the week, then a return of cooler temperatures by Friday. Significantly cooler, as we will drop below our climate norm (66/44)and see highs in the upper 50s and lows in the mid 30s.

A reminder that winter is still with us, as temperatures this morning started out in the upper 40s. The climate average for this time of year is 44. High pressure is moving into the area, and that is a fair-weather maker. Expect it to suppress cloud cover and offer up abundant sunshine. We will warm a little above our climate average high (66) to near 70 this afternoon.Next week: Warmer Temps still on the horizon for next week, as a warm front will lift up from the Gulf of Mexico. That will offer up a low-level flow of warm, moist air over the region. So, we will see an increase in clouds on the first part of the work week, with scattered rain chances. More widespread showers and thunderstorms will increase, beginning Tuesday, as a cold front is expected to develop and approach from the west. It looks like it should meander over central Mississippi for a couple of days, then move out of the area. That means increased rain chances through the week, then a return of cooler temperatures by Friday. Significantly cooler, as we will drop below our climate norm (66/44)and see highs in the upper 50s and lows in the mid 30s.

Clouds will continue to increase into the evening as a southerly breeze brings in the moisture off the Gulf of Mexico. An approaching low-pressure system and cold front from the west may squeeze out a sprinkle overnight, but it looks more likely to bring some rainfall during the day on Monday. Also, expect the winds to kick in pretty good on Monday. Sustained 20 to 25 mph wind speeds along with gusts to 45mph, have prompted a high wind advisory to be issued for Monday from 6AM until 6PM. This is mainly for central Mississippi, Louisiana, and Arkansas. Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may occur.So, that’s round one of things to look for next week. The Thursday into Friday timeframe will offer up a more robust storm system as a Pacific cold front will reach the Gulf states. It will bring another round of strong winds, but more importantly thunderstorms. Right now, it is looking like all the ingredients will be in place for strong to severe thunderstorm. Severe weather threats include tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. Preliminary risk assessment from the Storm Prediction Center has us with an enhanced risk. That’s a level 3 out of 5. It is still several days off and of course the timing and severity can change. The First Alert Weather team will monitor these systems and keep you updated. Afterward , seasonable temperatures return along with a mostly sunny weekend, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s.

Increasing clouds through tonight will act like a blanket and keep us out of the freezer, during the overnight. The Magnolia State will see mostly sunshine again on Sunday with a few streaming clouds, warming to the upper 60s. You’ll notice “warming” will be the trend heading into next week, with the upper 70s and low 80s expected by Tuesday. Norms for mid-February should be 63/40. We’re going to feel more like April next week. Not surprising, our next rain chance will be mid-week, as that seems to be the pattern for us over the past several weeks. The warmer environment will help in thunderstorm development, mainly north of Interstate-20 on Tuesday. Wednesday and Wednesday evening, a cold front will bring thunderstorms, some possibly severe. A preliminary risk assessment has us at a level 2 risk out of 5. Still several days out. The WLBT First Alert Weather team will monitor the system.

Cool and dry weather for us over the next couple of days. Starting out this morning with temperatures near freezing. With a good deal of sunshine expected, we’ll warm to the upper 50s this afternoon. Increasing clouds this afternoon and tonight will keep us out of the freezer overnight. The Magnolia State will see mostly sunshine again on Sunday, warming to the upper 60s. You’ll notice “warming” will be the trend heading into next week, with the upper 70s and low 80s expected by Tuesday. Norms for mid-February should be 63/40. We’re going to feel more like April next week. Temperatures will be close to record highs for both the afternoon and overnight periods. Not surprising, our next rain chance will be mid-week, as that seems to be the pattern for us over the past several weeks. The warmer environment will help in thunderstorm development, mainly north of Interstate-20. While some will likely become strong, right now models are indicating the risk for severe weather is low. And a low risk is a welcome change to the forecast. As always, the First Alert Weather team will monitor the system and update you on the progress and risks associated with this mid-week system.

Wet, windy, and cold are the best ways to describe our Saturday. Pretty steady rainfall throughout much of the afternoon. Some radar estimates show 3 to 5 inches of rain in some locations. Low pressure over the Florida panhandle is whipping winds in here, out of the northeast, at 15+ mph. The afternoon high barely breaking out of the 40s. As that Florida low moves east, so will our rainfall. Forecast models bring the rain to an end, across our viewing area, by midnight. We’ll be balancing good news with bad, for a few days. The good news, we can enjoy the sunshine on Sunday and Monday. Bad news, clouds and rainfall will move back in here on Tuesday. Expect some scattered thunderstorms for your Valentines Day. No severe weather is anticipated. But, this Tuesday system will really prime our region with warm moist air, allowing a more potent storm system to offer up severe weather late Wednesday into Thursday. The Storm Prediction Center has a preliminary threat of a level 2 out of 5. The timing and severity may change between now and then. The First Alert Weather team will monitor this system and keep you updated. Afterwards, cooler, drier air will filter in over us, bringing another round of freezing temperatures by Friday night.

A beautiful sunny Saturday across Mississippi. That makes it two days in a row! A repeat tomorrow shouldn’t bring many complaints. Though, with clearing skies, light winds, and dry conditions, that will allow for “maximum cooling” overnight. Much of the warmth we got from the sun today, will escape back into the atmosphere. But the freezing temps are gone, for the time being. Our climate average for this weekend is 60/38. We’ll be seasonable tonight, in the upper 30′s. Next week, it’s going to feel like spring, with temperatures in the low 70s during the afternoon. Sunshine will fill the sky to start the week. Showers will return with a cold front mid-week and start to taper off for the weekend, bringing cooler conditions back to Mississippi.

We’re continuing to monitor heavy rainfall across Mississippi and the deep south. Localized flash flooding is possible for low lying areas, including city and neighborhood streets. Minor river flooding is also possible. Generally, we’re looking at Interstate-20 and southward. The rain will move out of the area after midnight, with an eastward moving cold front. A north wind will build in, but nothing dramatic in our temperature drop. Patches of fog will develop in the morning and we’ll keep cloudy skies for our Monday, along with a slight chance for showers in the afternoon and evening. Rain will be on the increase mid-week, so don’t put away the rain gear. Flash flooding is on our radar for Thursday and Thursday night. A stronger cold front Thursday will usher in, not only heavy rainfall, but some noticeably colder air. Freezing temperatures return by Friday night.

It looks like we will be heading into a cloudy and rainy period for several days.A brisk southeast wind is driving moisture in from the Gulf of Mexico and keeping our temperatures slightly above average.A couple of rainmakers approach from the west tonight. Rain chances increase overnight, becoming widespread and likely, at 100% Sunday.Some embedded thunderstorms will pop off across the area Sunday morning. No severe weather is anticipated. Though we can see an inch of rain out of it,with higher totals south and southeast of 1-20. Localized flash flooding is possible Sunday into Sunday night, particularly in low lying and urban areas.Minor river flooding is also possible. Rainfall doesn't end with the passage of this system on Sunday. More showers and thunderstorms are expected next week.All days could bring some rain, but Tuesday and Wednesday have the highest chances. By the time we make it through the week, we may see upwards to 3 or 4 inchesof rain for the period. Cooler temperatures will return late next week as well, bringing us back to our seasonal average of 58 for the high and 37 for the low.

A beautiful bright sunshiny day, though temperatures have been running below normal. A chilly start this morning at 27 degrees. Normal morning low is 36. Most of us saw temperatures near 53 this afternoon, while 57 is the climate normal. Another cool night ahead of us, with some areas dipping to near 30, expect some frost. Increasing clouds on a breezy south wind Sunday will support our temperatures trending upward tomorrow and into next week. Rain chances also trending upward, as a couple of waves of showers and thunderstorms cross the Magnolia State. Rain chances return to the area on Monday, as early as 9 or 10 am. Not very widespread, though, but some isolated storms are possible, becoming more likely in the afternoon and evening. No severe weather is anticipated during this round of showers. By Wednesday, conditions become more favorable for severe weather to occur, ahead of a slow-moving cold front. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a preliminary risk assessment. A slight (1) to marginal (2) risk is anticipated, on a scale of 1 to 5, with 5 being the highest. But this is several days away, and severity and timing can change. The First Alert Weather team will continue to monitor. The front should eventually make it through here on Thursday, dropping temperatures again... but it doesn’t get far. The cold front will stall out along the coast and start making its way back up over us over the weekend as a warm front. That means rainfall next weekend.

A noisy start to our Sunday, but things are looking quieter for tonight. Radar estimated 2 to 3 inches of rain fell across portions of central Mississippi. Officially at the Jackson airport, 1.33 inches of rain. That lead to a flash flood warning being issued early this morning. That line of showers has cleared the viewing area tonight. A good layer of fog settled in after the rain. Expect that fog to continue tonight along with a slight cool down. Mild temperature return for the work week, along with partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions. We’re keeping tabs on our next weather maker. It’s a trough of low pressure coming off the Pacific Ocean. It will get better organized next week over Colorado and New Mexico and track eastward. A cold front associated with this low pressure system will approach Mississippi on Thursday. This much colder air will clash with our mild, moist environment and offer up thunderstorms. Some may become severe, but this is still several days out. The First Alert Weather team will watch this system for you. After it passes through, expect a cool down to seasonal temperatures.

A very nice Saturday across central Mississippi, with plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures. Today’s high was 76, that’s 19 degrees above normal. Vicksburg tied their record high of 78. For the next several days, we will have temperatures above seasonal averages. It’s not until next weekend that we expect temperatures back into the January neighborhood. Aside from the mild temperatures, rainfall is in the short-term forecast. Beginning tonight and continuing through midday Sunday. A cold front will drop southward, increasing rain chances, especially overnight and early Sunday morning. Some embedded thunderstorms could produce heavy rainfall around 1 to 2 inches. But on average, computer models indicate 1 inch or less. No severe storms are expected, nor are we expecting any flash flooding issues. Rain will move southeast, clearing the Jackson metro by 10 am, then out of the viewing area by 1pm. The sky will clear up before the sun sets Sunday night. Low end rain chances on Monday and Tuesday, with Mostly sunny and mild conditions through Wednesday. Showers and Thunderstorms return Thursday, with the potential for some strong to severe storms. The First Alert Weather team will continue to monitor the system for you.