A win by the New Orleans Saints over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is our computer model projection for these teams' upcoming matchup, on Sunday, October 1 at 1:00 PM ET (at Caesars Superdome). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

Offensively, the Saints rank 25th in the NFL with 17.7 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank sixth in points allowed (288 points allowed per contest). In terms of points scored the Buccaneers rank 19th in the NFL (19.3 points per game), and they are ninth on defense (19.7 points allowed per game).

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Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Saints by 4.5) Under (41) Saints 20, Buccaneers 16

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Saints Betting Info

  • The Saints have a 66.7% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • New Orleans is winless against the spread this season (0-2-1).
  • So far this season, none of New Orleans' games have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 41 points, 0.2 more than the average point total for Saints games this season.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Buccaneers have a 37.7% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay has won two games against the spread this year.
  • The Buccaneers have not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • So far this year, one Tampa Bay game has gone over the point total.
  • This season, Buccaneers games have resulted in an average scoring total of 43, which is two points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
New Orleans 17.7 16.7 16 15 18.5 17.5
Tampa Bay 19.3 19.7 19 21 20 17

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