Which team is going to win on Saturday, September 30, when the Alabama Crimson Tide and Mississippi State Bulldogs go head to head at 9:00 PM? Our projection model believes in the Crimson Tide. Dive into our other projections below, where we break down the final score, spread, and over/under.

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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Alabama (-15.5) Over (45.5) Alabama 44, Mississippi State 7

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Week 5 SEC Predictions

Mississippi State Betting Info (2023)

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  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Bulldogs have a 14.8% chance to win.
  • The Bulldogs have covered the spread once in four opportunities this year.
  • Two of the Bulldogs' four games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
  • The average over/under in Mississippi State games this season is 9.9 more points than the point total of 45.5 for this outing.

Alabama Betting Info (2023)

  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Crimson Tide's implied win probability is 90.0%.
  • The Crimson Tide have won twice against the spread this year.
  • Alabama has an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites.
  • Two of the Crimson Tide's four games have hit the over.
  • The average total for Alabama games this season has been 55.8, 10.3 points higher than the total for this game.

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Bulldogs vs. Crimson Tide 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Alabama 30.3 13.5 34.7 17 17 3
Mississippi State 30.8 27.3 31 24 30 37

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