Thursday's contest between the Boston Red Sox (74-72) and the New York Yankees (73-73) at Fenway Park has a projected final score of 5-4 based on our computer prediction, with the Red Sox securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:15 PM on September 14.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Yankees will send Clarke Schmidt (9-8) to the mound, while Nick Robertson (0-1) will answer the bell for the Red Sox.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info & Odds

  • When: Thursday, September 14, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Score Prediction

Our pick for this game is Red Sox 5, Yankees 4.

Total Prediction for Yankees vs. Red Sox

  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Yankees Performance Insights

  • The Yankees have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and have won three of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Yankees have not played a game with a spread over their last 10 outings.
  • The Yankees have won 45, or 54.2%, of the 83 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season New York has won 45 of its 83 games, or 54.2%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
  • New York ranks 24th in the majors with 609 total runs scored this season.
  • The Yankees' 3.98 team ERA ranks 10th among all league pitching staffs.

Red Sox Performance Insights

  • The Red Sox have played as the underdog in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
  • When it comes to the total, Boston and its foes are 5-4-1 in its previous 10 contests.
  • The Red Sox's previous 10 matchups have not had a spread set by bookmakers.
  • The Red Sox have won in 37, or 50.7%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Boston has won 30 of 62 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Boston is the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.0 runs per game (726 total).
  • Red Sox pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.56 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

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Yankees Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 9 Brewers L 9-2 Michael King vs Wade Miley
September 10 Brewers W 4-3 Gerrit Cole vs Corbin Burnes
September 12 @ Red Sox W 3-2 Randy Vasquez vs Nick Pivetta
September 12 @ Red Sox W 4-1 Carlos Rodón vs Kutter Crawford
September 14 @ Red Sox L 5-0 Michael King vs Tanner Houck
September 14 @ Red Sox - Clarke Schmidt vs Nick Robertson
September 15 @ Pirates - Gerrit Cole vs Johan Oviedo
September 16 @ Pirates - Clarke Schmidt vs Luis Ortiz
September 17 @ Pirates - Carlos Rodón vs Bailey Falter
September 19 Blue Jays - Clarke Schmidt vs Yusei Kikuchi
September 20 Blue Jays - Michael King vs Kevin Gausman

Red Sox Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 9 Orioles L 13-12 Chris Sale vs Jack Flaherty
September 10 Orioles W 7-3 Brayan Bello vs Grayson Rodriguez
September 12 Yankees L 3-2 Nick Pivetta vs Randy Vasquez
September 12 Yankees L 4-1 Kutter Crawford vs Carlos Rodón
September 14 Yankees W 5-0 Tanner Houck vs Michael King
September 14 Yankees - Nick Robertson vs Clarke Schmidt
September 15 @ Blue Jays - Brayan Bello vs José Berríos
September 16 @ Blue Jays - Chris Sale vs Chris Bassitt
September 17 @ Blue Jays - Nick Pivetta vs Hyun-Jin Ryu
September 18 @ Rangers - Tanner Houck vs Jordan Montgomery
September 19 @ Rangers - Tanner Houck vs Nathan Eovaldi