Political experts make their predictions - WLBT.com - Jackson, MS

Jackson 11/03/08

Political experts make their predictions

By Jon Kalahar - bio | email

JACKSON, MS (WLBT) - Everybody likes to predict who will win the upcoming election.

At a capital press corp luncheon, two political scientists and two reporters gave us their pick for president and United States Senator.

Then they got to explain their picks.  But what we found out is there is no way to know for sure, how you the voter will make your selection.

Months of campaigning, months of advertising have all come down to one day. But what could be a historic election for the nation could very well be remembered more for it's negatives here in Mississippi.

"To me it represents a lowest common denominator," said Joe Parker, former USM professor.

Former USM political science professor Joe Parker says the negative ads and campaigning between Roger Wicker and Ronnie Musgrove have embarrassed many voters. Still he points to certain voters Musgrove must get to pull out a victory.

"More tricky is the rural areas of white working class that in recent years have trended toward republican, but in Musgrove's election for governor he managed to pull enough of that vote to pull it off," said Parker

Parker and the Stennis Institute's Marty Wiseman agree Musgrove must get a significant portion of the delta to have any chance to win. Wiseman also points to the Obama factor that is motivating African Americans and Democrats in larger than usual numbers.

"If that turn out gets large that should give Musgrove the chance he needs," said Wiseman.

A large turn out could also influence actual voting.

"Probably put a historic strain on the voting process. Many precincts will not have the capability of taking in an expeditious fashion taking all the voters that'll come," said Parker.

 That may be one prediction that will come true. Expect long lines and bring plenty of patience to the polls Tuesday.

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